Matthew Lenard

Matthew Lenard

PhD candidate in Education Policy & Program Evaluation

Harvard Graduate School of Education

I am a Ph.D. candidate at the Harvard Graduate School of Education (HGSE) in its Education Policy and Program Evaluation concentration.

My research centers on using rigorous quantitative methods to measure the impacts of education programs and policies. I work in close partnership with state and local education agencies, notably the Tennessee Department of Education, the State of New Jersey, and North Carolina’s Wake County Public School System.

I primarily study topics at the intersection of education and economics, but also draw from the traditions of psychology, political science, and sociology in my work. My current projects focus on career and technical education, peer effects, school choice, and teacher labor markets.

This fall (2024), I will join the Department of Educational Leadership & Policy Studies at Florida State University as an assistant professor.

Interests

  • Education policy
  • Program evaluation
  • Causal inference
  • Economics of education

Education

  • PhD in Education, 2024 (Expected)

    Harvard Graduate School of Education

  • MA in Political Science, 2011

    Georgia State University

  • BA in Economics, 2000

    Wesleyan University

Publications

New schools and new classmates: The disruption and peer group effects of school reassignment

Policy makers periodically consider using student assignment policies to improve educational outcomes by altering the socio-economic and academic skill composition of schools. We exploit the quasi-random reassignment of students across schools in the Wake County Public School System to estimate the academic and behavioral effects of being reassigned to a different school and, separately, of shifts in peer characteristics. We rule out all but substantively small effects of transitioning to a different school as a result of reassignment on test scores, course grades and chronic absenteeism. In contrast, increasing the achievement levels of students’ peers improves students’ math and ELA test scores but harms their ELA course grades. Test score benefits accrue primarily to students from higher-income families, though students with lower family income or lower prior performance still benefit. Our results suggest that student assignment policies that relocate students to avoid the over-concentration of lower-achieving students or those from lower-income families can accomplish equity goals (despite important caveats), although these reassignments may reduce achievement for students from higher-income backgrounds.

The kids on the bus: The academic consequences of diversity-driven school reassignments

Many public school diversity efforts rely on reassigning students from one school to another. While opponents of such efforts articulate concerns about the consequences of reassignments for students’ educational experiences, little evidence exists regarding these effects, particularly in contemporary policy contexts. Using an event study design, we leverage data from an innovative socioeconomic school desegregation plan to estimate the effects of reassignment on reassigned students’ achievement, attendance, and exposure to exclusionary discipline. Between 2000 and 2010, North Carolina’s Wake County Public School System (WCPSS) reassigned approximately 25 percent of students with the goal of creating socioeconomically diverse schools. Although WCPSS’s controlled school choice policy provided opportunities for reassigned students to opt out of their newly reassigned schools, our analysis indicates that reassigned students typically attended their newly reassigned schools. We find that reassignment modestly boosts reassigned students’ math achievement, reduces reassigned students’ rate of suspension, and has no offsetting negative consequences on other outcomes. Exploratory analyses suggest that the effects of reassignment do not meaningfully vary by student characteristics or school choice decisions. The results suggest that carefully designed school assignment policies can improve school diversity without imposing academic or disciplinary costs on reassigned students.

Matching methods for clustered observational studies in education

Many interventions in education occur in settings where treatments are applied to groups. For example, a reading intervention may be implemented for all students in some schools and withheld from students in other schools. When such treatments are nonrandomly allocated, outcomes across the treated and control groups may differ due to the treatment or due to baseline differences between groups. When this is the case, researchers can use statistical adjustment to make treated and control groups similar in terms of observed characteristics. Recent work in statistics has developed matching methods designed for contexts where treatments are clustered. This form of matching, known as multilevel matching, may be well suited to many education applications where treatments are assigned to schools. In this article, we provide an extensive evaluation of multilevel matching and compare it to multilevel regression modeling. We evaluate multilevel matching methods in two ways. First, we use these matching methods in a within-study comparison design and attempt to recover treatment effect estimates from three clustered randomized trials. Second, we conduct a simulation study. We find evidence that generally favors an analytic approach to statistical adjustment that combines multilevel matching with regression adjustment. We conclude with an empirical application.

Working Papers

The impacts of high school industry certifications on intentions, college-going, and earnings

This paper estimates the effects of earning industry-recognized certifications (IRCs) in high school on downstream outcomes. IRCs are a form of alternative education credential issued by industry groups or corporations to individuals seeking to acquire knowledge or skills in a particular sector. This credential type has grown rapidly among high school students as school systems incorporate them into accountability systems and students respond to labor market demand for skills. Since IRCs are awarded on the basis of an objective passing score, students who just barely fail or barely pass are likely to differ only in their likelihood of earning a certification. I thus use regression discontinuity design to estimate the signaling effect of earning a certification on post-high-school intentions, postsecondary enrollment, and earnings. Conditional on first exam attempts, IRC earners are more likely to express their intent to attend a four-year-college and are just as likely to actually enroll—effects that operate through college readiness indicators and not career and technical education. However, within seven years following the first IRC attempt, students on the margin of passing earn no more than their counterparts. The results suggest that for marginal examinees, earning an IRC may represent a signal that boosts interest and enrollment in four-year college, but these effects do not translate into higher short-term earnings.

The attraction of magnet schools: Evidence from embedded lotteries in school assignment

Magnet schools provide innovative curricula designed to attract students from other schools within a school district, typically with the joint goals of diversifying enrollment and boosting achievement. Measuring the impact of attending a magnet school is challenging because students choose to apply and schools have priorities over types of students. Moreover, magnet schools may influence non-cognitive skill formation that is not well-reflected in test scores. This study estimates the causal impact of attending a magnet school on student outcomes by leveraging exogenous variation arising from tie breakers embedded in a centralized school assignment mechanism. Using a rich set of administrative data from a large school district, we find suggestive evidence that attending a magnet school led to higher performance in mathematics and non-language immersion magnet schools also increased students’ reading scores. Student engagement was significantly higher, as measured through absenteeism and on-time progress rates. Further, students were significantly less likely to change schools when attending a magnet. These results provide robust evidence that magnet school—a typically understudied school choice option—can benefit student learning and increase student engagement while enabling the system to achieve its goals of promoting racial and socioeconomic balance through school choice.

Funding

AERA / NSF Dissertation Grants Program

$27,500 (Dissertation Grantee)

Harvard Radcliffe Institute (HRI) Engaged Student Grant Program

$1,500 (Principal Investigator)

New Jersey Education to Earnings Data System Grant Program

$3,000 (Co-Investigator)

Partnering in Education Research (PIER) Fellowship

$28,000 (Fellow)

ECMC Foundation Postsecondary Career and Technical Education (CTE) Research Fellowship

$9,000 (Fellow)

SREE Summer Fellows Program

$10,000 (Fellow)

Spencer Foundation Small Research Grants Program

$49,823 (Co-Investigator)

Teaching

Intermediate & Advanced Statistical Methods for Applied Educational Research (HGSE S-052)

This course is designed for those who want to extend their data analytic skills beyond a basic knowledge of multiple regression analysis and who want to communicate their findings clearly to audiences of researchers, scholars, and policymakers. S-052 contributes directly to the diverse data analytic toolkit that the well-equipped empirical researcher must possess in order to perform sensible analyses of complex educational, psychological, and social data. The course begins with general linear models and continues with generalized linear models, survival analysis, multilevel models, multivariate methods, causal inference, and measurement. Specific methods exemplifying each of these topics include regression, discrete-time survival analysis, fixed- and random-effects models, principal components analysis, regression discontinuity, and reliability, respectively. S-052 is an applied course. It offers conceptual explanations of statistical techniques and provides many opportunities to examine, implement, and practice these techniques using real data. Students will learn to produce readable and sensible code to enable others to replicate and extend their analyses.

Multilevel & Longitudinal Models (HGSE S-043/Stat-151)

Data often have structure that needs to be modeled explicitly. For example, when investigating students’ outcomes we need to account for the fact that students are nested inside classes that are in turn nested inside schools. If we are watching students develop over time, we need to account for the dependence of measurements across time. If we do not, our inferences will tend to be overly optimistic and wrong. The course provides an overall framework, the multilevel and generalized multilevel (hierarchical) model, for thinking about and analyzing these forms of data. We will focus on specific versions of these tools for the most common forms of longitudinal and clustered data. This course will focus on applied work, using real data sets and the statistical software R. R will be specifically taught and supported. While the primary focus will be on the linear model with continuous outcomes (i.e., the classic regression framework) we will also discuss binary, categorical, and ordinal outcomes. We will emphasize how to think about the applicability of these methods, how they might fail, and what one might do to protect oneself in such circumstances. Applications of hierarchical (multi-level) models will include the canonical specific cases of random-slope, random-intercept, mixed effect, crossed effect, marginal, and growth-curve models.

Introduction to Applied Data Analysis (HGSE S-040)

Often when quantitative evidence is being used to answer questions, scholars and decision-makers must either analyze empirical data themselves or evaluate the analyses of others. This course will cover the basic principles of quantitative data analysis and is roughly comparable in content to the full-year S-012/S-030 course sequence in applied regression and data analysis. Students will examine real data gathered to address questions in educational, psychological, and social research settings, becoming acquainted with basic descriptive statistics, tabular and graphical methods for displaying data, the notion of statistical inference, and analytic methods for exploring relationships with both categorical and continuous measures. These topics will provide students with a solid foundation for addressing research questions through statistical modeling using simple and multiple linear regression. There will be an emphasis on applying the statistical concepts learned in this course–in particular, how to (1) select the appropriate statistical techniques; (2) properly execute those techniques; (3) examine the assumptions necessary for the techniques to work appropriately; (4) interpret analytic results; (5) summarize the findings effectively; and (6) produce publication-style visual displays of results. Because quantitative skills are best learned through practice, computer-based statistical analyses will be an integral part of the course. There will be several problem sets involving the core concepts covered in class as well as several take-home assignments and a final project involving data analysis and the interpretation and reporting of research results.

Making Data Count—Asking and Answering Questions with Data (HGSE S-054)

Collected strategically and communicated well, data can be a compelling source of inspiration for action in education. But too often its power is lost because we ask the wrong question, use the wrong data to answer the question, or don’t present our findings clearly. In this course, students will learn how to solve all three of these problems. They will use theories of action to develop strong research questions. They will identify sources of data to answer those questions, including local and publicly available data sets, and will learn how to collect data strategically to answer them where it doesn’t already exist. And they will learn how to tell a compelling data story through effective data visualizations, empathetic writing, and powerful presentations. This is a hands-on course with plenty of real-world examples and opportunity for practice, including a final project applying the skills learned in the class. It complements introductory and advanced statistics courses by building skills in communicating with data, rather than emphasizing data analysis. It is appropriate for students who anticipate doing analytical work themselves in future roles and for students who expect to manage analysts or work with researchers as part of a leadership role. Course examples will emphasize U.S. K-12 education settings, but students are welcome to use data from other settings for their final project.

Middle School Social Studies and Reading Teacher

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